2022 U.S. Open odds: Surprising PGA picks, golf predictions for the Masters by model

Sam Burns has missed the cut in five games this season, but he has also won three, including the Charles Schwab Challenge. He has three other top-five finishes, but he will prove himself at the 2022 U.S. Open, which begins on Thursday, June 16. He has missed the cut twice in his previous three majors and finished 41st in the other. Burns is 40-1 in Caesars Sportsbook’s 2022 U.S. Open odds and is tied with Scot Favorites like Tee Scheffler (11-1), Jon Rahm (12-1) and Rory McIlroy (14-1) vie for the headline U.S. Open in 2022.

Can Burns shake off his previous poor performance in the tournament to justify placing him in the best bet for the 2022 US Open? Before you lock in your 2022 US Open picks, be sure to check out PGA Tour predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven golf models.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, created by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been in demand since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, its best bet has been over $9,500 since then, winning game after game.

McClure’s models include Justin Thomas’ best bet to win the 2022 PGA Championship. That bet reached +1600, and McClure’s best bet returned nearly $800 in the entire tournament. At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s role model is Scottie Scheffler’s first career major title before the weekend.

In addition, McClure’s best bets include a straight win for Colin Morikawa at the 2021 British Open, despite his huge 40-1 win from long range. The scene of Jon Rahm (10-1) winning his first career major at the 2021 U.S. Open is also modeled. Going into the weekend, Ram was two shots behind the lead, but the model still thought he was the winner.

The same pattern also locks in eight majors heading into the weekend. Anyone who followed it saw huge returns.

With the 2022 U.S. Open golf championship approaching, SportsLine ran 10,000 simulations of the event, and the results were surprising. Head over to SportsLine now to see projected leaderboards.

2022 US Open Top Predictions

One huge shock that the model called for at the 2022 US Open: World No. 1 and tournament favorite Scottie Scheffler stumbled into the top five. Scheffler has been on fire this season, with four wins and seven top-10 finishes, as highlighted by his victory at Augusta. But he’s been a little calmer in recent weeks.

He’s finished 15th or worse in his last three events and missed the cut at the PGA Championship. He also didn’t have much success at the U.S. Open, failing to make the cut twice in four attempts. The model doesn’t like his high odds, which makes him a golfer to fade away from your 2022 US Open bets.

Another surprise: Victor Hofland, a 20-1 long-shot, is going strong for the 2022 U.S. Open title. His chances of winning it all are much better than his odds would suggest, so he’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The Norwegian’s strong showings in the spring season include a top-10 finish and two top-five finishes in three events from late February to mid-April.

An accident at the U.S. Open last year forced Hovland out, but before that, he was playing well in the tournament. In 2019 he finished 12th and in 2020 he finished 13th. One aspect that has kept Hovland competitive throughout the tournament is his style of play, as he ranks fourth with a 74.03 percent rate when hitting the greens on such shots. In a crowded 2022 U.S. Open lineup, his precision should keep him competitive on the final day.

How to Make a 2022 US Open Draft Pick

The model is targeting three other golfers with odds of 18-1 or better who will have a terrific finish. Anyone who backs these long shots can hit the ground running. You can only see a selection of models here.

So who will win the 2022 US Open? Which distance shots shocked the golf world? Check out the 2022 U.S. Open odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 U.S. Open leaderboard, all from models from eight golf majors including this year’s Masters.

2022 US Open odds, live

Scottie Scheffler 11-1
Jon Rahm 12-1
Rory McIlroy 14-1
Justin Thomas 14-1
Morikawa Colin 14-1
Dustin Johnson 16-1
Cameron Smith 18-1
Zander Sheoffel 18-1
Brooks Koepka 18-1
Patrick Cantley 20-1
Victor Hofland 20-1
Jordan Spieth 22-1
Sean Lowry 25-1
Zara Torres 28-1
Bryson DeChambeau 28-1
Hideki Matsuyama 30-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 35-1
Daniel Berger 35-1
Tony Furnau 35-1
Joaquin Niemann 40-1
Paul Casey 40-1
Luis Ushutzen 40-1
Tyrell Hatton 40-1
Sam Burns 40-1
Webb Simpson 40-1
Tommy Fleetwood 50-1
Corey Connors 50-1
Justin Rose 50-1
Abraham Ancer 60-1
Harris English 60-1
Gary Woodland 65-1
Matthew Wolfe 65-1
Mark Leishman 65-1
Patrick Reed 65-1
Jason Cockerack 65-1
Lin Chengcai 65-1
Garrick Seago 65-1
Jason Day 70-1
Christian Bezudenhout 80-1
Phil Mickelson 80-1
Billy Horscher 80-1
Adam Scott 80-1
Max Homa 80-1
Sergio Garcia 80-1
Brian Harman 100-1
Russell Henry 100-1
Charlie Hoffman 100-1
Lee Westwood 100-1
Brandon Grace 100-1
Guido Migliozzi 125-1
Shi Yujin 125-1
Francesco Molinari 125-1
Bubba Watson 125-1
Thomas Peters 125-1
Matt Wallace 125-1
Cameron Champions 125-1
Stewart Sink 150-1
Martin Kemer 150-1
Ryan Palmer 150-1
Robert McIntyre 150-1
Carlos Ortiz 150-1
Kevin Kisner 150-1
Ian Poulter 150-1
Matt Kuchar 150-1
Kevin Streman 150-1
Hudson Swafford 200-1

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