2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from golf model known as 8 majors

The 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge may not weigh as much as last week’s PGA Championship, but it still has a loaded field. Five of the top 10 players in the Official World Golf Rankings will play at Colonial Country Club. World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler, who failed to make the cut last weekend, is a favorite at 10-1 for Caesars Sportsbook’s 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds. They are followed by Justin Thomas (12-1), Jordan Spieth (14-1) and Colin Morikawa (16-1) on the PGA odds board.

Defending champion Jason Kokrak is looking to get off to a strong start Thursday with a 40-1 long shot. Spieth is another previous winner in the field, but should you back him with your 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge bet? Before making any 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge picks, be sure to check out PGA Tour predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven golf models.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, created by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been in demand since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. In fact, its best bet has been over $9,500 since then, winning game after game.

McClure’s models include Justin Thomas’ best bet to win the 2022 PGA Championship. That bet hit +1600, and McClure’s best bet returned nearly $800 throughout the tournament. At the 2022 Masters, McClure’s role model is Scottie Scheffler’s first career major title before the weekend.

Additionally, McClure’s best bet includes Morikawa’s outright win at the 2021 Open Championship, even though he’s listed as a huge 40-1 long shot. The scene of Jon Rahm (10-1) winning his first career major at the 2021 U.S. Open is also modeled. Going into the weekend, Ram was two shots behind the lead, but the model still thought he was the winner.

The same pattern also locks in eight majors heading into the weekend. Anyone who followed it saw huge returns.

Now that the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge (see tickets on StubHub) is just around the corner, SportsLine ran 10,000 simulations of the race, and the results were surprising. Head over to SportsLine now to see projected leaderboards.

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge Predictions

The model called for a huge shock at the 2022 Schwab Challenge: World No. 1 player and tournament favorite Scheffler stumbled and failed to win. Scheffler has four wins this season, twice as many as any other golfer, and he is also the No. 1 player in the FedEx Cup. But he was eliminated at the PGA Championship, ending a streak of seven consecutive top-25 finishes in major tournaments.

Scheffler, who grew up in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, said he loved Colonial Country Club, but that adoration didn’t translate into success playing it. He has competed in the event each of the past two years, missing the cut in 2021 and finishing 55th in 2020. Additionally, Perry Maxwell, who designed the Colonial Country Club, also designed the South Hills Country Club, which just hosted the PGA Championship, and saw Scheffler miss the cuts there. Despite his dominance of the world rankings and tour season, the model believes there are better options than Schaeffler in betting on the 2022 Schwab Challenge.

Another surprise: Max Homa, a 25-1 long shot, who excelled for the title. He’s coming off the best finish of his majors career, tied for 13th at the PGA Championship. The 31-year-old played a solid game, shooting between 69 and 71 in four rounds.

Houma has never finished tied for 40th at one of the sport’s four majors, so he will bring some confidence to this week’s event. He already has two titles this season, bringing home the hardware at the Fortinet Championship and Wells Fargo Championship. Houma is likely to add his third title of the year in the Charles Schwab Challenge, making 25-1 look like a worthwhile bet.

How to Make a 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge Pick

The model is targeting three other golfers with odds of 25-1 or better who will make an amazing finish. Anyone who backs these long shots can hit the ground running. You can only see a selection of models here.

So who will win the 2022 Charles Schwab Challenge? Which distance shots shocked the golf world? Check out the 2022 Schwab Challenge odds below, then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2022 Schwab Challenge leaderboards, all from eight golf majors including this year’s Masters.

2022 Charles Schwab Challenge odds, live

Scottie Scheffler 10-1
Justin Thomas 12-1
Jordan Spieth 14-1
Morikawa Colin 16-1
Victor Hofland 18-1
Zara Torres 20-1
Max Homa 25-1
Sam Burns 25-1
Abraham Ancer 30-1
Tommy Fleetwood 30-1
Daniel Berger 35-1
Tony Furnau 35-1
Lin Chengcai 35-1
Davis Riley 40-1
Jason Cockerack 40-1
Tarrogucci 40-1
Billy Horschel 40-1
Gary Woodland 45-1
Mito Pereira 45-1
Webb Simpson 45-1
Justin Rose 50-1
Kevinner 50-1
Harold Varner 50-1
Chris Kirk 50-1
Bryson DeChambeau 50-1
Mavericks McNealy 50-1
Sebastian Munoz 50-1
Brian Harman 55-1
Tom Hogg 55-1
Christian Bezudenhout 65-1
Cameron Tringle 65-1
Patrick Reed 65-1
Ricky Fowler 65-1
CT disc 70-1
Ryan Palmer 70-1
Sepstraka 80-1
Cam Davis 80-1
Eric Van Ruyen 80-1
Kevin Kisner 80-1
Lee Kyung-hoon 80-1
Adam Long 90-1
Troy Merritt 90-1
Joel Damen 90-1
Russell Knox 90-1
Doug Jim 90-1
Barton Kizil 100-1
Ian Poulter 100-1
Danny McCarthy 100-1
Sahith Theegala 100-1
Matt Jones 100-1
David Lipsky 100-1
Kevin Streman 100-1
Stewart Sink 100-1
Aaron Lai 100-1
Lucas Herbert 100-1
Matthew Nesmith 100-1
JT Boston 125-1
Brendon Todd 125-1
Lucas Glover 125-1
Charles Schwartzel 125-1
James Hahn 125-1
JJ Spaun 125-1
Kurt North Hill 125-1
Brandon Wu 125-1
Nate Leslie 125-1
Dylan Fritley 125-1
Peter Marnati 150-1
Patrick Rogers 150-1
Emiliano Grillo 150-1
Alex Smalley 150-1
Stephen Jaeger 150-1
Lorisa Battini 150-1
Pat Perez 150-1
Mathias Schwab 150-1
Carlos Ortiz 150-1
Chez Reeve 150-1
Austin Smallsman 150-1
Nick Taylor 150-1
Taylor Moore 150-1
Lee Min-woo 150-1
Mark Hubbard 150-1
Richard Brand 150-1
Scott Stallings 150-1
Adam Swenson 200-1
Danny Lee 200-1
Garrick Seago 200-1
Wyndham Clark 200-1
Bohosler 200-1
Chad Lamy 200-1
Dr. Redman 225-1
Zach Johnson 250-1
Michael Thompson 250-1
Kramer Hickok 250-1
Andrew Putnam 250-1
Brian Stewart 250-1
Adam Schenk 250-1
Vince Wiley 250-1
Brent Snedek 250-1
Charlie Hoffman 250-1
Luke Donald 250-1
Sam Ryder 250-1
Robert Streb 300-1
Harry Higgs 300-1
Hayden Buckley 300-1
Lee Hodges 300-1
Tyler Duncan 300-1
Paul Barron 300-1
Trey Mullinax 300-1
Ryan Brehm 400-1
Camilo Villegas 400-1
Kevin Twee 400-1
Coach Martin 500-1
Bill Haas 500-1
Testrafage 500-1
Nick Watney 500-1
Max McGreevy 500-1
James Piot 500-1
John Parker 500-1
Eric Compton 500-1

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